In the 16 most recent NCAA tourney matchups between the ACC and Big East, OVER the total is 12-4 (75%). ACC teams are on a 20-5 SU & 16-9 ATS (64%) tourney run in the last 25 against Pac 12 foes. ACC-Pac 12 tourney matchups have also gone UNDER on totals most often, 14-3-1 (82.4%) since ’03. ACC teams are 16-4 SU but 1-19 ATS (5%) combined versus Atlantic Sun, Colonial Athletic, & Ohio Valley teams since ’01. #2 ACC seeds are on a brutal 11-28-1 ATS (28.2%) slide since ’01, however, Duke did go 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS a year ago. ACC teams playing as double-digit seeds are 14-6-1 ATS (70%) since 2012. ACC teams are 34-3 SU but 12-25 ATS (32.4%) in their last 37 as double-digit tourney favorites. ACC teams are just 28-46-1 ATS (37.8%) as favorites of 5 points or less in the NCAA’s since ’98. In the role of pick em’ or small underdog (up to 4.5 points), ACC teams are currently on a 12-3 ATS (80%) surge. ACC teams have been most successful in the Final Four Round, going 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS (66.7%) since ’01. Besides putting two teams in the Final Four in 2022, the ACC enjoyed a banner performance overall in last year’s tournament, 14-5 SU and 15-4 ATS (79%).
Let’s get started with the ACC, annually one of the most successful leagues every year when it comes to the NCAAs. In addition, I provide a list of the teams from each league that will be playing in this year’s tournament and their opening matchups, to help you spot the best qualifying trends, on line and total ranges, round level of games, by seed numbers, and perhaps most importantly, how they fare against some of the other conferences.
In this piece that readers request every year, I separate the various conferences in college basketball and determine their performance records in different tournament game situations of late. There are always plenty of scenarios like this that the most successful tournament bettors have their sights set on for when the action commences and the opening lines are released. A mid-major with a gaudy record is always a popular Cinderella pick but can be overhyped by both bettors and oddsmakers. A champion from one of the power leagues is usually a national title contender, while a bubble team from that same league is a potential upset victim. This is much of the charm of the NCAA Tournament each year. For a variety of reasons, whether it's matchups, motivations, or perceptions, the simple fact is that certain conferences match up well with others in certain types of games and line scenarios.
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